Could the next international order be characterized by a struggle between a nascent DC-Moscow Petrostate Axis, arrayed against a Beijing-Brussels Green Entente?
The renewable — non-renewable schism is interesting, but the Putin-Xi bromance obviates this thesis. In the end, China’s desire — and great strategic advantage — is not to become head of a Green Bretton Woods, but the monetary hegemon of a networked planet, with support from the BRICS, Russia, Iran, India, Saudi Arabia and many more.
The small nation of Canada is waving at you as both a supporter and a potential spoiler of your vision. Rich in conventional energy resources, it could provide the EU and China with product that will impede the move toward green energy. Sandwiched between Russia and the USA probably ensures it will be ground zero in any resource battle be it between EU and USA or between the China and the Russo-USA pact.
This may well be the most mind blowing thought piece I have read for decades.
The central role of energy in your thesis is compelling and put me in mind of Yergin's
'The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power' which brilliantly established the centrality of oil in the great game.
No more detailed notes right now. Too much to absorb and ponder over.
Great job. So provocative and well presented.
The renewable — non-renewable schism is interesting, but the Putin-Xi bromance obviates this thesis. In the end, China’s desire — and great strategic advantage — is not to become head of a Green Bretton Woods, but the monetary hegemon of a networked planet, with support from the BRICS, Russia, Iran, India, Saudi Arabia and many more.
The small nation of Canada is waving at you as both a supporter and a potential spoiler of your vision. Rich in conventional energy resources, it could provide the EU and China with product that will impede the move toward green energy. Sandwiched between Russia and the USA probably ensures it will be ground zero in any resource battle be it between EU and USA or between the China and the Russo-USA pact.
Dare we believe that the US has gamed this out and the green for Canada isn't just Trump's insanity?